Polymarket Trader

Archie3241

0x74470a3e74bba8a13f75b9a5a2b0e061bd40b94e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.97K
Realized PnL: -$1.38K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $3.97K
Potential payout: $18.75K
Potential profit: $14.78K
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $965.63

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.71K
Potential profit: $4.71K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $646.97
Potential profit: $646.97
User PnL: -$392.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.89
Potential profit: $41.89
User PnL: -$19.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.92K

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.89

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.15

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$26.76

Top Esports position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$603.63

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$646.49

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.23K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 18,750 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

No 3.5% 10,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Up 47% 41.23 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

No 10% 10,000 shares
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

No 68% 1,431.22 shares
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

No 69.9% 1,431.23 shares
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

No 81% 1,234.89 shares
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 4.4% 29,999.51 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 5.6% 23,064.61 shares
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 6.4% 10,000 shares
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 6.4% 10,000 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 21% 9,523.81 shares