Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1M
- Potential profit
- $1M
- User PnL
- -$2K
Polymarket Trader
tetrose
0x74471a007ddcc488f6d57b5e86dfb35a8d48a16d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $207.87K
- Realized PnL
- $389.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $551.79K
- Potential profit
- $551.79K
- User PnL
- -$8.44K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $404.01K
- Potential profit
- $404.01K
- User PnL
- -$798.33
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $308.07K
- Potential profit
- $308.07K
- User PnL
- -$11.44K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $234.05K
- Potential profit
- $234.05K
- User PnL
- -$54.85K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.21K
- Potential profit
- $232.21K
- User PnL
- -$34.07K
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230.71K
- Potential profit
- $230.71K
- User PnL
- -$2.73K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.05K
- Potential profit
- $201.05K
- User PnL
- -$27.77K
No position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $174.87K
- Potential profit
- $174.87K
- User PnL
- -$3.81K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $152.77K
- Potential payout
- $153K
- Potential profit
- $229.51
- User PnL
- $137.43K
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.99K
- Potential profit
- $124.99K
- User PnL
- -$17.22K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.03K
- Potential profit
- $118.03K
- User PnL
- -$13.21K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.51K
- Potential profit
- $109.51K
- User PnL
- -$438.03
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.18K
- Potential profit
- $107.18K
- User PnL
- -$11.8K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.15K
- Potential profit
- $100.15K
- User PnL
- -$27.44K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $99.95K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.65K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$564.2
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.38K
- Potential profit
- $90.38K
- User PnL
- -$3.72K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.06K
- Potential profit
- $84.06K
- User PnL
- -$4.28K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.22K
- Potential profit
- $77.22K
- User PnL
- -$2.55K
Yes position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.25K
- Potential profit
- $74.25K
- User PnL
- -$4.93K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.11K
- Potential profit
- $65.11K
- User PnL
- -$503.79
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.63K
- Potential profit
- $63.63K
- User PnL
- -$1.75K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.7%
- Current value
- $55.05K
- Potential payout
- $63.5K
- Potential profit
- $8.44K
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $683.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.67K
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.83K
Yes position
Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.13K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.34K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.15x
- User PnL
- $21.08K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.63K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.09K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.73K
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.46K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.46K
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.82K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.77K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.68K
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $13.96K
Yes position
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79K
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $12.21K
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.11K
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.02K
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $11.3K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.51K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.28K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.03K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 87.8% 10,000 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 86% 9,385.97 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 35% 1,039.77 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 55.3% 5,043.48 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 49.9% 1,039.77 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 46.3% 2,406.25 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 45% 3,485.27 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 43.9% 16,934.58 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 60.7% 9,427.31 shares
- Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.7% 10,093.83 shares
- Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.5% 6,595.22 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.3% 90,469.49 shares