Polymarket Trader

ShrimpsOnThePan

0x7463fc873a8f41517e60fb202c21c7c9d94e59b3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $701.65
Realized PnL: $683.41
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $701.65
Potential payout: $771.04
Potential profit: $69.39
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $7.71

Yes position

Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202.59
Potential profit: $202.59
User PnL: -$142.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.15

Yes position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.73

Yes position

GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.55

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.4

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.7

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.57

No position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.5

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Biden's war" during Ukraine President events on December 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Hamas" or "Hezbollah" during Israel President events on December 29?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.25

No position

Will Donald Trump say the N-word during Israel President events on December 29?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.1

No position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

No position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.18

No position

Will Donald Trump say "dictator" during Ukraine President events on December 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.69

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

No 90% 771.04 shares
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Yes 95% 200 shares
Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?

Yes 70.6% 200.17 shares
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?

Yes 91.4% 332 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

No 94.4% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

No 90% 50 shares
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

No 92% 50 shares
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

No 98.5% 218 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?

Yes 93% 82.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

No 96% 50 shares
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?

No 93% 88 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Yes 91.9% 90 shares