No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $53.51
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $667.73
Polymarket Trader
0x74778AdD8186829865A52509b8c2a2AbB98bA7A8-1772301846813
0x74778add8186829865a52509b8c2a2abb98ba7a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.37K
- Realized PnL
- $476.44
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $893.81
- Potential payout
- $904.21
- Potential profit
- $10.4
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $400.58
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $346.48
- Potential profit
- $346.48
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $207.48
- Potential payout
- $302.89
- Potential profit
- $95.41
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $57.48
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $221.67
- Potential profit
- $221.67
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.28
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.06
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.03
Yes position
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-05-16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.12
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.36
Yes position
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-02?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.45
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.25
No position
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-05-02?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.34
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- $13.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Sporting CP vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$9.24
Yes position
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-04-29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.35
Yes position
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.17
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$18.14
Yes position
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-04-10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 37% 675.68 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 73.4% 285.54 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 36% 277.92 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.7% 735.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 68% 73.53 shares
- Will FC Arouca win on 2026-05-16?Yes 99.9% 86.2 shares
- Will FC Arouca win on 2026-05-16?Yes 29% 86.21 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 46.8% 106.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 68% 294.12 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 51% 196.08 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 69.4% 144.03 shares
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?Yes 99.9% 151.51 shares