Polymarket Trader

gg.goty

0x7484cc78efa26518499088e4742fd9bbfc21ce15

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $380.63
Realized PnL: $1.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $8.85
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $241.15
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$11.15

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $114.38
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $10.63
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $14.38

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $99.38
Potential payout: $123.46
Potential profit: $24.07
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.62

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $104.07
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $12.21
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $4.07

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $106.38
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $104.17
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $42.61
Potential payout: $70.42
Potential profit: $27.82
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$7.39

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $7.39
Potential payout: $65.09
Potential profit: $57.7
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: -$2.61

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $3.96
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $37.71
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$16.04

Yes position

Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $10.42
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.46
Potential profit: $9.46
User PnL: -$4.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.28
Potential profit: $9.28
User PnL: -$4.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.56

No position

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.3

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.77

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.92

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.52

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.27

Yes position

New Pope in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.69

No position

Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.88

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.27

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.61

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.91

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.68

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.67

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.89

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.63

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.44

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.24

No position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.18

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.78

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.24

No position

Will George Simion win by over 18%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.15

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.9

No position

Will Andy Burnham – Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 81% 123.46 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

No 86% 116.28 shares
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Yes 25% 20 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 73% 54.79 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 80% 125 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 96% 104.17 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 89.5% 111.72 shares
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 11% 90.91 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 68% 73.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Down 51% 9.8 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 59% 50.85 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Yes 8% 250 shares