Polymarket Trader

1nvoker1

0x748ac19f73c96312e98227f49f65699542943c56

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.13K
Realized PnL: $20.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.93K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.97K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.94K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $13.63
Potential payout: $9.09K
Potential profit: $9.07K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$8.45

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $42.25
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $6.46K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$9.75

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $6.25K
Potential profit: $6.25K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$248.1

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$1.01K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 42.6%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.87K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $480.96

No position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $4.57K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $424.99
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$16.62

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $594.07
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.41K
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $75.29

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $2.93K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $72
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $33.49

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$117.7

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $2.25K
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $54.21
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $196.93

Yes position

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $48.12
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$32.09

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $126.5
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.07K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $181
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.82K
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $133
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$8.2

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$208.68

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $528.51
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $168.45

No position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $324.84
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$54.85

No position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $546.54
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $27.62

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $176.09
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $192.07

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $38.74
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $210.87

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $21.14
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $43.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.8K

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4K

No position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07K

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $966.99

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $950

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $650.14

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622.56

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $619.2

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $615.07

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $608.09

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $534

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $503.91

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $498.18

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $493.06

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $488.4

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $487.66

No position

Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 15-21, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $478.99

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $468.06

No position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465.09

No position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $462.67

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $453.77

No position

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $435.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 44% 200 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 31.9% 142.34 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 11.4% 300 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 37.8% 9.34 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 21% 500 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

No 97% 93.32 shares
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 2.1% 150 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 1.5% 1,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 21% 17 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 21% 500 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 46.7% 56.69 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 27% 683 shares