0x748bea8E0439C0657EF9B33e4a16f346Ccc116E4-1773377835317

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $42.41
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $16.85
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $11.36
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $11.24
Potential profit: $8.93
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $9.9
Potential profit: $9.33
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $5.48
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $1.39
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.17
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $6.1
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.02
Potential profit: $6.02
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85.8%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on June 29?

Implied probability: 87.1%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $5.82
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $4.45
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $1.29
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $5.23
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.43
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5.15
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on June 29?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Cincinnati Reds position

Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Cholet position

Paris Basketball vs. Cholet

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Nanterre position

Monaco vs. Nanterre

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Bahcesehir Koleji position

Besiktas vs. Bahcesehir Koleji

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

CB Murcia position

Barcelona vs. CB Murcia

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Shanghai Sharks position

Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Philadelphia Phillies position

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

La Laguna Tenerife position

Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Seattle Mariners position

New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

Quimsa position

Boca Juniors vs. Quimsa

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks