Polymarket Trader

ultralisk

0x74957ea27ac4fbdee46d861fdae357859ff67fcf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $55.08
Realized PnL: $24.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.85K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.78

No position

Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5.32
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.77K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$30.17

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $6.56
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$200.51

Yes position

Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $5.55
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.63

Yes position

Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.51

Yes position

Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15.04

Yes position

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.9

Yes position

Will DRX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$25.76

Yes position

Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.36K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.28

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.36K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$8.27

Yes position

Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $8.16
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$6.42

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$27.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$10.79

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$29.7

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$29.19

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$31.25

Yes position

Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.57

Yes position

Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.23
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.68

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$94.6

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $1.58K

No position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

No position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $966.16

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65.2%
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $957.35

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $948.94

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 28?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $947.4

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $944

No position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $928.34

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $907.7

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $895.54

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $845.94

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 19?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $826.97

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $768

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $768

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Yes 3.5% 100 shares
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Yes 1.5% 15 shares
Will a player representing Portugal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.7% 13 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

No 5% 100 shares
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 7% 100 shares
Will a player representing Sweden be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 80 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 2.1% 100 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

No 88.1% 70 shares
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?

Yes 4.4% 100 shares
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 7.1% 15 shares
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 5.5% 100 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

No 5.1% 41 shares