No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $460.1
- Potential profit
- $460.1
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
jerpo
0x74990354d355b87ef72a079834346ff03ea8dfcd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $280.33
- Realized PnL
- $19.35
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $64.58
- Potential payout
- $417.98
- Potential profit
- $353.4
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $14.84
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.85
- Potential profit
- $204.85
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.45
- Potential profit
- $194.45
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.01
- Potential profit
- $156.01
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $107.36
- Potential payout
- $127.82
- Potential profit
- $20.45
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $7.36
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $113.64
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.3%
- Current value
- $96.95
- Potential payout
- $112.34
- Potential profit
- $15.39
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$3.05
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $11.44
- Potential payout
- $84.75
- Potential profit
- $73.31
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$38.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.28
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Cabinet meeting on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.68
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.34
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Will Trump say "Peace Through Strength" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 73% 15.62 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 64% 15.63 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 64.1% 156.01 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 44% 113.64 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No 62% 80.65 shares
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes 25.7% 194.45 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No 98.9% 60 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 23% 108.7 shares
- Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 12, 2026?Yes 43.8% 68.53 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 70% 66.66 shares
- Will Trump say "Peace Through Strength" during Address to the Nation?Yes 36% 69.44 shares
- Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?Yes 33% 100 shares