0x74B4F9447B14b12308963FC048Ae363EB0756bEA-1769170826159

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $21.8K
Potential payout: $25.2K
Potential profit: $3.4K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3.16K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $21.85K
Potential payout: $21.93K
Potential profit: $76.76
User PnL: $1.36K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $15.91K
Potential payout: $16.11K
Potential profit: $201.37
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $334.48

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $13.61K
Potential payout: $14.48K
Potential profit: $868.91
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $111.05

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $11.97K
Potential payout: $12.41K
Potential profit: $440.44
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $139.45

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $11.06K
Potential payout: $11.36K
Potential profit: $301.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $57.7

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $10.02K
Potential payout: $10.09K
Potential profit: $70.62
User PnL: $609.97

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $7.29K
Potential payout: $7.35K
Potential profit: $55.11
User PnL: $938.43

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $6.44K
Potential payout: $6.97K
Potential profit: $522.56
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $378.34

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $6.68K
Potential payout: $6.86K
Potential profit: $178.34
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $37.57

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $6.7K
Potential payout: $6.82K
Potential profit: $126.22
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $52.51

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $6.24K
Potential payout: $6.28K
Potential profit: $43.99
User PnL: $386.75

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $6.02K
Potential payout: $6.07K
Potential profit: $48.57
User PnL: $817.04

No position

Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $5.53K
Potential payout: $5.58K
Potential profit: $55.82
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $56.41

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $5.37K
Potential payout: $5.39K
Potential profit: $24.26
User PnL: $141.71

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $5.13K
Potential payout: $5.18K
Potential profit: $51.84
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $705.14

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $4.05K
Potential payout: $4.1K
Potential profit: $47.09
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $88.62

No position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $3.78K
Potential payout: $3.81K
Potential profit: $26.67
User PnL: $52.63

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $3.71K
Potential payout: $3.74K
Potential profit: $24.3
User PnL: $89.19

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $3.47K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $29.75
User PnL: $83.56

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $3.34K
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $33.73
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $793.33

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $2.81K
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $158.71
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $387.26

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.87K
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $24.62
User PnL: $27.51

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $2.89K
Potential profit: $24.54
User PnL: $35.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $945.23

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $867.56

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $850

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $845.52

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $806.63

No position

US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $738.24

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $699.93

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Implied probability: 39.8%
Multiplier: 2.52x
User PnL: $674

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $660.01

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $630

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $565.05

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $546.39

No position

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?