No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Polymarket Trader
KostyFN
0x74ba6f914fd03a80761aa5ff035a7684f829e6c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $0.09
- Win rate
- 27.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested by Friday?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.44
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested by Friday?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.44
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 87% 34 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 87% 34 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 95.2% 31 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 94.7% 31 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 28 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 38% 70 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 38% 70 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 22% 13 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 22% 28 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 76% 38 shares
- Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 30 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes 16.2% 13 shares