0x74bD1aA716239f95fdF0AbE46E8b40929F74B816-1775892303560

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $74.19
Potential payout: $84.31
Potential profit: $10.12
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.07
Potential profit: $79.07
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.12
Potential profit: $69.12
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.75
Potential profit: $40.75
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.23
Potential profit: $33.23
User PnL: -$22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.17
Potential profit: $28.17
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $23.53
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.61
Potential profit: $20.61
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.28
Potential profit: $18.28
User PnL: -$13

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.98
Potential profit: $17.98
User PnL: -$12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $16.95
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.07
Potential profit: $13.07
User PnL: -$12.29

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.7
Potential profit: $11.7
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $9.26
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $8.06
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.23

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.97

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.96

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET