Yes position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
TheGreatHondini
0x74c034d55fd6f41bbd58a038d38976e2412283ae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $172.03
- Realized PnL
- -$47.08
- Win rate
- 17.6%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $141.75
- Potential payout
- $225
- Potential profit
- $83.25
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $96.75
No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $30.28
- Potential payout
- $128.87
- Potential profit
- $98.59
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$8.22
No position
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.51
- Potential profit
- $25.51
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.43
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.29
Yes position
U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.23
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$4.33
Yes position
US defaults on debt by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$5.33
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.11
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.92
Yes position
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$15.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No 29.9% 128.87 shares
- Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No 20% 225 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 50% 158.47 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?Yes 3% 147.94 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 51% 158.47 shares
- US defaults on debt by 2027?Yes 2.7% 170.3 shares
- Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?Yes 7.1% 102.64 shares
- Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 250 shares
- Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?Yes 4% 16.66 shares
- U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Yes 1.4% 63.25 shares
- U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?Yes 7.4% 24 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes 5% 41.66 shares