Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $10.79
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $515.53
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Polymarket Trader
0x74C0c5bC8CFc9D162C1114Bc9BD5D176510274A2-1779309283886
0x74c0c5bc8cfc9d162c1114bc9bd5d176510274a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $84.47
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $54.31
- Potential profit
- $52.76
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$3.45
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $12.58
- Potential payout
- $48.39
- Potential profit
- $35.81
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.42
Yes position
Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $33.16
- Potential profit
- $24.06
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $6.06
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $13.17
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $1.06
N
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $7.68
- Potential payout
- $12.9
- Potential profit
- $5.23
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$2.32
N
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $8.72
- Potential profit
- $5.01
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
N
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $6.94
- Potential profit
- $5.49
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$3.54
N
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $6.85
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
N
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $2.24
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
N
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
N
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
N
No position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
N
No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5.03
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0.01
N
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.6%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $3.9
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?No 77% 3.9 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?No 78% 6.41 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?No 77% 6.49 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?No 77% 6.49 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?No 72% 6.94 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 31% 48.39 shares
- Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in July?Yes 33.2% 33.16 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 1.9% 526.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?Yes 26% 19.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?Yes 9.2% 54.31 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?No 73% 6.85 shares
- Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?No 99.5% 5.03 shares