Polymarket Trader

C2H5O

0x74cbe13dba27a6a16805e9e7142ee68aa09cae6d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $51.68
Realized PnL: $1.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $640
Potential profit: $640
User PnL: -$8.9

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $560.66
Potential profit: $560.66
User PnL: -$1.64

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $334.98
Potential profit: $334.81
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $3.07
Potential payout: $153.37
Potential profit: $150.3
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.09
Potential profit: $129.09
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $115
User PnL: -$1.46

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.62
Potential profit: $107.62
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.3

No position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $13.95
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $76.05
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $52.5
Potential profit: $52.42
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.85

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.01
Potential profit: $40.01
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during June 24 Rally?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $18.72
Potential payout: $37.44
Potential profit: $18.72
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $6.74

Yes position

Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $9.24
Potential payout: $29.8
Potential profit: $20.56
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $6.18

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $6.46
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $17.92
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $3.39

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$1.68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $355.36

Yes position

Will "McDonald's" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $159.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 9?

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.5

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.89

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 23?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.62

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 15+ times during Monday news conference?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.09

No position

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.6

Up position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.78

Yes position

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.83

No position

Will Mattertrades win the Defi App trading competition?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.77

No position

Will Trump say "Thank you" 10+ times during the private dinner on November 12?

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.22

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.75

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.67

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.58

No position

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.49

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.09

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.04

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?

No 16% 40 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19?

Yes 17% 22.5 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18?

Yes 1.5% 30.95 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 19?

Yes 3.3% 5 shares
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 8% 20 shares
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 7% 20 shares
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Yes 2% 300 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 15% 25 shares
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Yes 5.1% 81.2 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 15.3% 25 shares
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Yes 12.6% 48.73 shares
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Yes 11.6% 20 shares