Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $92.25
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $357.75
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$15.75
Polymarket Trader
liljanibosna
0x74d5ad22e8173c48e4aa393c093011113c90195b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $143.16
- Realized PnL
- $74.12
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $17.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $32.25
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $17.74
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $32.24
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Y
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $14.95
- Potential payout
- $40.97
- Potential profit
- $26.02
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $3.96
- Potential profit
- $3.53
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $5.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Multiplier
- 9.43x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Y
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?Yes 0.3% 25.39 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?Yes 7% 28.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 27?No 4.7% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 28?Yes 15.6% 31.68 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?Yes 9.1% 66.34 shares
- Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?Yes 20.7% 6.43 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?Yes 9.3% 50 shares
- Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in July 2026?Yes 3.5% 61.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 27?Yes 12.6% 24.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 27?No 34% 4.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 27?No 34.5% 40.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 27?No 40% 5.27 shares