Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.68K
- Potential profit
- $150.68K
- User PnL
- -$7.31K
Polymarket Trader
vk7
0x74db2780445d9b7b10e8a650db1b94f8e53c4ca5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.83K
- Realized PnL
- $35.14K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $5.11K
- Potential payout
- $87.4K
- Potential profit
- $82.29K
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$9.8K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85K
- Potential profit
- $85K
- User PnL
- -$8.59K
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $5.29K
- Potential payout
- $82K
- Potential profit
- $76.71K
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$5.71K
Yes position
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55K
- Potential profit
- $55K
- User PnL
- -$1.35K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$2.68K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33K
- Potential profit
- $33K
- User PnL
- -$7.05K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.58K
- Potential profit
- $31.58K
- User PnL
- -$8K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.41K
- Potential profit
- $25.41K
- User PnL
- -$5.62K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.24K
- Potential profit
- $23.24K
- User PnL
- -$7.89K
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $149.79
- Potential payout
- $23.04K
- Potential profit
- $22.89K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.41K
Yes position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $165.73
- Potential payout
- $20.72K
- Potential profit
- $20.55K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.91K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.88K
- Potential profit
- $17.88K
- User PnL
- -$3.73K
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16K
- Potential profit
- $16K
- User PnL
- -$3.17K
Yes position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $694.4
- Potential payout
- $16K
- Potential profit
- $15.31K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$150.77
Yes position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.39K
- Potential profit
- $14.39K
- User PnL
- -$468.55
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $12.53K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.53K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $13.28K
- Potential profit
- $12.02K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.49K
Yes position
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.62K
- Potential profit
- $11.62K
- User PnL
- -$2.36K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $234.88
- Potential payout
- $11.46K
- Potential profit
- $11.22K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$265.11
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.71K
- Potential profit
- $10.71K
- User PnL
- -$3.92K
Yes position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.33K
- Potential profit
- $10.33K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$1.99K
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.45K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.55K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.75K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.73K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44K
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59K
Yes position
US military action against Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $986.33
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $928.4
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.62
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$310.78
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$313.73
Inter position
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
US strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$877.91
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$986.9
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.16K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.97K
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.71K
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.94K
Yes position
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.01K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.85K
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes 6.7% 39,605.44 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes 23.1% 15,000 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes 10.7% 52,173.02 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes 99.7% 17,000 shares
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?Yes 35% 59.9 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes 56% 39.15 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 21% 1,113.02 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes 50.6% 2,000 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 11.2% 1,192.87 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.8% 900 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes 59.5% 3,997.1 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes 71.7% 9,328.65 shares