Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$550
Polymarket Trader
0x74e2...ea6d
0x74e24960e3e2440deae5c8715338a8ba2d13ea6d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $559.31
- Realized PnL
- $1.77K
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.48K
- Potential profit
- $15.48K
- User PnL
- -$274.3
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.73K
- Potential profit
- $13.73K
- User PnL
- -$225
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.77K
- Potential profit
- $12.77K
- User PnL
- -$134.99
Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.93K
- Potential profit
- $9.93K
- User PnL
- -$228.83
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 6-12?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.58K
- Potential profit
- $9.58K
- User PnL
- -$341.27
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.17K
- Potential profit
- $8.17K
- User PnL
- -$202.76
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.8K
- Potential profit
- $7.8K
- User PnL
- -$224.99
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.55K
- Potential profit
- $7.55K
- User PnL
- -$126.31
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.07K
- Potential profit
- $7.07K
- User PnL
- -$84.65
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $523.93
- Potential payout
- $4.99K
- Potential profit
- $4.47K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $198.77
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.21K
- Potential profit
- $4.21K
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 6-12?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.13K
- Potential profit
- $4.13K
- User PnL
- -$69.69
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.03K
- Potential profit
- $4.03K
- User PnL
- -$44.05
Yes position
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $33.93
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.54K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$16.07
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.39K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- User PnL
- -$27.08
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.15K
- Potential profit
- $3.15K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $3.03K
- User PnL
- -$68.87
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $723.15
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $665.32
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.55
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475.79
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $451.54
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.48
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.33
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$11.54
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.88
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.17
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$20.29
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$25.73
Yes position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$55.4
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$488.73
Yes position
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$749.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?No 0.1% 15,000 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes 1.1% 38.76 shares
- Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes 1% 2,000 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 6.3% 6,012.22 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Yes 10.1% 716.15 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?Yes 1.2% 4,166.67 shares
- Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?Yes 0.8% 687.17 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 73.8% 947.99 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 68% 1,949.49 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 11?No 0.8% 1,941.4 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?Yes 1.8% 5,555.56 shares