Polymarket Trader

0x74FAa250CBab3a9597cF4B9F9d69bb9825797Ff1-1769792758500

0x74faa250cbab3a9597cf4b9f9d69bb9825797ff1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.01K
Realized PnL: $6.22K
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $12.51K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $47.49K
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$7.89K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$6.89K

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $600

No position

Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $9K
User PnL: -$2.25K

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$2.64K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.87K
Potential profit: $5.87K
User PnL: -$2.34K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$34.26

No position

Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $84

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$445

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $500
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $125

Yes position

Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$13.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6K

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92K

Yes position

Infinex FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.50 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$384.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?

Yes 0.7% 2,376.26 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?

Yes 41.7% 5,000 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Yes 89% 157 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?

Yes 18.3% 7,365.24 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?

Yes 79.9% 72 shares
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

No 35.9% 933.16 shares
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

No 25% 10,000 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?

Yes 70.9% 517.12 shares
Will XRP dip to $1.50 January 26-1?

Yes 3.1% 6,472.1 shares
Will XRP dip to $1.50 January 26-1?

Yes 11.2% 16.05 shares
Will XRP dip to $1.50 January 26-1?

Yes 4.2% 2,000 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?

No 31.7% 999.99 shares