Polymarket Trader

0x7514...5dd2

0x751450fa3167f00422d61eeefe5e85ad41245dd2

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $1.13K
Realized PnL: $1.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $526.58
Potential payout: $530.83
Potential profit: $4.25
User PnL: $3.66

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $7.02
Potential payout: $501.25
Potential profit: $494.23
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$31.58

No position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $61.01
Potential payout: $200.04
Potential profit: $139.03
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$11.85

Yes position

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $59.22
Potential payout: $188
Potential profit: $128.78
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$13.7

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $26.25
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $57.08
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $6.25

No position

Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $74.17
Potential payout: $76.78
Potential profit: $2.61
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $68.5
Potential payout: $73.78
Potential profit: $5.28
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $52.82
Potential payout: $64.82
Potential profit: $12
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$3.23

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $6.09
Potential payout: $64.1
Potential profit: $58.01
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$27.89

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $60.39
Potential payout: $61.03
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $53.65
Potential payout: $55.17
Potential profit: $1.52
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $43.83
Potential profit: $43.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $11.13
Potential payout: $37.74
Potential profit: $26.6
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$8.87

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $29.58
Potential payout: $30.7
Potential profit: $1.12
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.71

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $25.81
Potential payout: $26.44
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $26.14
Potential payout: $26.33
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $22.73
Potential payout: $22.93
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Robert Smullen be the Republican nominee for NY-21?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $8.61
Potential payout: $9.11
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $5.62
Potential profit: $0.76
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.53
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $537.17

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.79

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.91

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.59

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.55

Yes position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.03

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.63

No position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.12

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.87

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.34

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.35

Yes position

Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.65

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

Athletics position

Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.25

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.76

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.43

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.84

Yes position

Starmer out by October 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.92

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.37

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 99.3% 1.02 shares
Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?

Yes 95% 3.72 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 99.4% 1.04 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 99.4% 1.98 shares
Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?

Yes 97% 17.31 shares
Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?

Yes 97% 25.62 shares
Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?

Yes 91.6% 27.13 shares
Will Robert Smullen be the Republican nominee for NY-21?

No 90% 9.11 shares
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Yes 35% 69.34 shares
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

No 35% 69.34 shares
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

No 34% 71.35 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 99.1% 25.1 shares