Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.3%
- Current value
- $9.58
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $8.42
- Multiplier
- 1.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Polymarket Trader
0x7515...227e
0x751523b752a90f7634170c0e5fe3f8d84ed7227e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $22.31
- Realized PnL
- $0.15
- Win rate
- 35.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $7.68
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.48
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.6%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 3.49x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 11% 10 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 16% 9 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 7.3% 16 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 66% 5 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 66% 6 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 35% 6 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No 90% 6 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes 13% 9 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No 95.2% 6 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 6 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 16% 10 shares