Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $342.97
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$38.11
Polymarket Trader
carnegiepilled
0x751b1b9f96e34d41097cb9e96daa1002e71c5d1b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $736.93
- Realized PnL
- $559.32
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $363.34
- Potential payout
- $982
- Potential profit
- $618.66
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$108.02
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.8%
- Current value
- $19.37
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $45.63
- Multiplier
- 3.36x
- User PnL
- -$4.51
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $32.52
- Multiplier
- 14.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
G2 Esports position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $8.77
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $6.22
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.02
100 Thieves position
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Natus Vincere position
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.1
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.63
Karmine Corp position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.11
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
G2 Esports position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
NRG position
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Movistar KOI position
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
NRG position
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
G2 Esports position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Movistar KOI position
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
NRG position
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Maryville University position
LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
100 Thieves position
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
100 Thieves position
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$7.84
Supernova position
LoL: Supernova vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.99
Karmine Corp position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Karmine Corp position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.05
Team Vitality position
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.97
Team Vitality position
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.73
Invictus Gaming position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?Yes 9.7% 30 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 15% 2,540.51 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes 36.7% 65 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No 72% 14.99 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 48% 982 shares
- Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.1% 820.25 shares
- Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes 8.4% 373.07 shares
- Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Yes 3.9% 802.99 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 56% 170 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 57% 170 shares
- Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Yes 2.1% 6.12 shares
- Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes 8.4% 85 shares