Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
0x7535F46aD000cc3532d68D923e4C68E70042eE01-1769412772533
0x7535f46ad000cc3532d68d923e4c68e70042ee01
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.79
- Realized PnL
- $8.74
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.34
- Potential profit
- $46.34
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $12.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $27.2
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $19.61
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $8.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $5.03
- Multiplier
- 6.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.86
- Potential profit
- $3.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.62
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Yes 25% 40 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 22% 4.55 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.9% 20.41 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.6% 6.02 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No 12.3% 8.13 shares
- Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?No 5.1% 19.61 shares
- Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes 25.9% 3.86 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes 4.3% 46.34 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 16% 44.44 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 9% 44.44 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes 6.8% 58.82 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 99.8% 24.67 shares