Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $16.88
- Potential payout
- $160.74
- Potential profit
- $143.86
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Polymarket Trader
0x7538903600f8B51B4cB0499E483b0B3Bd0Af4B40-1773635402739
0x7538903600f8b51b4cb0499e483b0b3bd0af4b40
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $93.68
- Realized PnL
- $99.8
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $7.61
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $122.4
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $2.41
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $4.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.55
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $2.32
- Potential payout
- $98.62
- Potential profit
- $96.3
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $7.09
- Potential payout
- $88.06
- Potential profit
- $80.97
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.7%
- Current value
- $11.31
- Potential payout
- $60.66
- Potential profit
- $49.35
- Multiplier
- 5.36x
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $8.79
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $51.21
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.86
- Potential profit
- $52.86
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $52.03
- Potential profit
- $46.98
- Multiplier
- 10.31x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.08
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $6.46
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $40.54
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $35.8
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
HANJIN BRION position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.33
- Potential profit
- $32.33
- User PnL
- -$5.82
KT Rolster position
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
magic position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
FUT Esports position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $11.68
- Potential payout
- $16.33
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.41
LGD Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.92
- Potential profit
- $12.92
- User PnL
- -$2
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- User PnL
- -$5
ThunderTalk Gaming position
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $9
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Over position
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $5.63
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
T1 position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Team WE position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.84
EDward Gaming position
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.74
Yes position
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $7.71
Top Esports position
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34
Over position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Top Esports position
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28
CTBC Flying Oyster position
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Season
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
HANJIN BRION position
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Invictus Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
DetonatioN FocusMe position
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Season
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.92
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Under position
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Kiwoom DRX position
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
Over position
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 0.5Over 86% 1.16 shares
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over 92% 1.09 shares
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Under 99.9% 1.13 shares
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Under 88% 1.14 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 10% 23.01 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 99.9% 7.6 shares
- Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 85% 6 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 76% 1.32 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 95.8% 12 shares
- Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 65% 5.63 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Yes 96% 2.88 shares