Polymarket Trader

ksares

0x753c1eb7125c01801472060c1c66537b8b06e86f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $49.92
Realized PnL: $85.4
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.86
Potential profit: $102.86
User PnL: -$22

No position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $20.49
Potential payout: $21.68
Potential profit: $1.19
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.49

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.27
Potential profit: $20.27
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-28?

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$2

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $12.38
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $3.71

No position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.9%
Current value: $4.06
Potential payout: $10.71
Potential profit: $6.66
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: -$1.94

Dvalishvili position

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.13
Potential profit: $10.13
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.25
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $6.62
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $2.64
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $8.77
User PnL: -$5

Pantoja position

UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $7.25
User PnL: -$5

Ravens position

Bengals vs. Ravens

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $6.58
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $4.94
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$0.38

Lions position

Packers vs. Lions

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3

Chiefs position

Chiefs vs. Cowboys

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$3

No position

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-10-19?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.11

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

Shevchenko position

UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Taira position

UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Cortes-Acosta position

UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Topuria position

UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

Ferreira position

UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Prates position

UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Saint Denis position

UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Orolbai position

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Morales position

UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Talbott position

UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Levante UD win on 2025-10-04?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?

Ends Sep 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Machado Garry position

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Makhachev position

UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-04?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Israel strikes Iran by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Spain snap election called in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

No 90% 5.56 shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 50% 10 shares
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

No 25% 4 shares
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

No 41% 12.2 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 74% 20.27 shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?

Yes 13% 15.38 shares
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

No 93% 16.13 shares
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

No 54% 9.26 shares
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

No 69.4% 12.5 shares
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Ferreira 50% 6 shares
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Talbott 69% 7.25 shares