Polymarket Trader

mrtoaster17

0x75456f58386fd2c523f1f29ac4fb7ce69ac5c0ce

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $203.11
Realized PnL: $191.38
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $89.67
Potential payout: $129.98
Potential profit: $40.31
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $40.08

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $9.64
Potential payout: $103.09
Potential profit: $93.45
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$24.24

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.2
Potential profit: $100.2
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $30.51
Potential payout: $93.17
Potential profit: $62.66
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $15.51

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $9.42
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $79.87
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$5.58

Yes position

Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $11.06
Potential payout: $47.07
Potential profit: $36.01
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$3.94

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.25
Potential profit: $44.25
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $5.18
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $30.54
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $22.88
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.92
Potential profit: $23.92
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $22.72
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $12.72

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $10.11
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $12.11
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.1%
Current value: $10.81
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $9.19
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.22
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $16.95
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.6
Potential profit: $15.6
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.15
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.78
Potential profit: $9.78
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.77
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$1.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.63

Yes position

Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.2

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.09

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.72

No position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.02

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.72

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.64

Over position

AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 83% 22.22 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 45% 22.22 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 44% 22.73 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 45% 22.22 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 8% 25 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 94.33 shares
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 31.9% 47.07 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 80% 18.18 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 48% 20.83 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 55% 18.18 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 61% 16.39 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 51.1% 9.78 shares