bobbet

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.95K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $141
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.86K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $39

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $99
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.9K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$37.5

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $167.68
Potential payout: $2.92K
Potential profit: $2.75K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$4.73

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $87.07
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.79K
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$334.74

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $284.7
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.53K
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: $182.97

No position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $347.95
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $873.35
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $74.12

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$24.5

Yes position

Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $58.98
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $7.58

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $95
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $905
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $937.18
Potential profit: $931.56
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$3.12

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $489.75
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $32.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $467.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $35.73
Potential payout: $476.38
Potential profit: $440.66
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$24.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $427.4
Potential payout: $467.1
Potential profit: $39.7
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $15.1

Yes position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $38.21
Potential payout: $449.56
Potential profit: $411.35
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$17.23

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $435.8
Potential profit: $433.84
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$11.21

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $172
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $228
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$38

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $58
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $342
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $38
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $342
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $25.1
Potential payout: $328.1
Potential profit: $303
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: -$4.43

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $278.39
Potential payout: $319.99
Potential profit: $41.6
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $26.5

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 85.1%
Current value: $272.15
Potential payout: $319.99
Potential profit: $47.84
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$13.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3K

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $777.13

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $763.33

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $443.48

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $355.73

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $341.07

No position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.59

Yes position

Will Other be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.41

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $215.55

Yes position

Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $198.83

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $195.63

Yes position

Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.47

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55%
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $152.09

Yes position

US x China Military clash before 2027?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $149.54

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.11

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.1

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $123.55

No position

Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.17

Yes position

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $109.55

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.31

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.06

Yes position

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.2

Yes position

Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.81

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?