No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $2.35K
- Potential payout
- $3.24K
- Potential profit
- $890.2
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Polymarket Trader
jasonisanidiot
0x756a66d462f6b76ddfa5a4c62d0a74b25b8795e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.35K
- Realized PnL
- $1.06K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.52
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.43
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.02
No position
Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.04
No position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.72
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.87
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $30.35
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.61
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.29
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.11
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6
Yes position
Democratic sweep?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.45
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $9.87
No position
Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $6.83
Yes position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.15
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "Alien" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 48.5% 406.44 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 85.1% 231.66 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 37.1% 1,175.67 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?No 92% 355.66 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?No 91.2% 120 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 35% 507.09 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 32.9% 1,147.91 shares
- Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?No 99.4% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?No 99.8% 179.1 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?No 74% 214.12 shares
- Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?No 68.5% 231.36 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?No 74% 141.54 shares