Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $450
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $299.55K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$450
Polymarket Trader
0x7578283F89D914361B1E744eC7d415a2Bd626426-1779907293151
0x7578283f89d914361b1e744ec7d415a2bd626426
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.17K
- Realized PnL
- $10.88K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $700
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $199.3K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $98.45K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $350
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $4.53K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$226.49
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.32K
- Potential profit
- $5.32K
- User PnL
- -$3.15K
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $3K
- Potential payout
- $4.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.14K
- Potential profit
- $4.14K
- User PnL
- -$290
No position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$101.42
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$974.76
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$480
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$240
Ghana position
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$210
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$600
Belgium position
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$260
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$170
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$276.5
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $571.43
- Potential profit
- $571.43
- User PnL
- -$40
Saudi Arabia position
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$65
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$75
Under position
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$75
Under position
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$90
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $484.92
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.16
No position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.43
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $300
No position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212
Under position
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
France position
Spread: France (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Colombia position
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?No 3.4% 3,000 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 29.2% 450 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 28% 70.61 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 27% 5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 69.4% 4,320.53 shares
- Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?Yes 7% 571.43 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 91.4% 1,296.29 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 54% 1,296.3 shares
- Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?No 50% 1,000 shares
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Yes 41% 1,000 shares
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Ghana 21% 1,000 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 16% 3,000 shares