No position
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $974.06
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $235.95
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $30.91
Polymarket Trader
dropmeplease
0x758b87dd3b6491bb122634be5d465d180a120a1c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.52K
- Realized PnL
- $4.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $657.39
- Potential payout
- $759.99
- Potential profit
- $102.6
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
No position
Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $675.49
- Potential payout
- $679.91
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $608.04
- Potential payout
- $651.71
- Potential profit
- $43.66
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $22.17
No position
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.3%
- Current value
- $509.81
- Potential payout
- $627.15
- Potential profit
- $117.34
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$26.5
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $29.64
- Potential payout
- $543.8
- Potential profit
- $514.16
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$5.43
Yes position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $24.92
- Potential payout
- $513.73
- Potential profit
- $488.81
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$8.19
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $33.09
- Potential payout
- $493.85
- Potential profit
- $460.77
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- -$16.11
No position
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $433.77
- Potential payout
- $457.09
- Potential profit
- $23.31
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $394.69
- Potential profit
- $394.69
- User PnL
- -$32.52
Over position
Games Total: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $367.6
- Potential profit
- $367.6
- User PnL
- -$235.26
No position
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $346.81
- Potential payout
- $348.38
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- User PnL
- $6.49
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $109.97
- Potential payout
- $328.26
- Potential profit
- $218.29
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$38.04
No position
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $6.82
- Potential payout
- $318.7
- Potential profit
- $311.88
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$29
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $299.06
- Potential payout
- $316.3
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.87
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $165.93
- Potential payout
- $307.28
- Potential profit
- $141.35
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.59
Yes position
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $280
- User PnL
- -$14.56
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $117.95
- Potential payout
- $277.53
- Potential profit
- $159.58
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$3.13
No position
Will Innio's market cap be between $23B and $26B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $269.14
- Potential profit
- $269.14
- User PnL
- -$175.42
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $237.11
- Potential payout
- $264.93
- Potential profit
- $27.82
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $113.42
- Potential payout
- $246.56
- Potential profit
- $133.14
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
No position
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $99.6
- Potential payout
- $239.99
- Potential profit
- $140.4
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $3.12
No position
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $233.91
- Potential profit
- $233.91
- User PnL
- -$61.04
Yes position
Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $79.03
- Potential payout
- $229.15
- Potential profit
- $150.11
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $573.41
No position
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.92
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $302.72
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $258.97
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.2
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $229.17
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $201.95
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $193.99
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $178.91
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $159.88
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.9
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $145.85
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $141.78
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $131.44
N
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $113.11
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $106.9
No position
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.43
No position
Will Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.67
No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $90.05
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $85.34
Y
Yes position
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $84.37
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.85
No position
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No 95% 20 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 97.9% 20 shares
- Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes 11% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 93.7% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 93.8% 20 shares
- Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?No 51% 16.83 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?Yes 5% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 7% 20 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 97.8% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?Yes 5.9% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?Yes 6% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?Yes 5.9% 20 shares