Polymarket Trader

maybefog

0x758df9f96b91e0fc9caf668a832c55b562fd9548

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.71
Realized PnL: $229.12
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $12.97
Potential payout: $14.99
Potential profit: $2.02
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $6.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $8.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 29?

No 86% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 29?

No 76% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 29?

Yes 6.7% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 29?

Yes 24% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 29?

Yes 16% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?

Yes 46% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?

Yes 47% 4.99 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 28?

Yes 46% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 28?

Yes 2.1% 12.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 28?

Yes 0.1% 12.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 27?

Yes 1.1% 15 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 27?

Yes 99.8% 10 shares