Polymarket Trader

Raydio

0x758e3bb16c087fd0c11a4f15c8bbc61c67edbf3f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.6K
Realized PnL: $1.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $5.8K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $201
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.37K

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 68.6%
Current value: $685.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $314.5
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$74.5

No position

USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $270
User PnL: -$264.33

Mayweather position

Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $103.99
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $95.99
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $192.31
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$25

No position

Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $10.85
Potential payout: $12.06
Potential profit: $1.21
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.92

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.02

No position

Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

No position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Duke Blue Devils position

Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.3

No position

Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.01

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.6

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.8

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.85

No position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.71

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.4% 1,230 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Up 13% 192.31 shares
Thunder vs. Spurs

Spurs 67% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Up 51% 49.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Up 95% 26.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Up 83.8% 130.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Up 76.5% 130.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Up 66% 47.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Up 53% 47.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Down 99% 30.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Down 81% 30.86 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 6.5% 10,000 shares