Polymarket Trader

youngcheese

0x75a27d0cc95b3586297c1e6b5417269332cd6992

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.16K
Realized PnL: $6.98K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.41K
Potential profit: $12.41K
User PnL: -$616.09

Yes position

Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.86K
Potential profit: $10.86K
User PnL: -$4.19K

No position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.29K
Potential profit: $10.29K
User PnL: -$646.74

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $395
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.61K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $990.87
Potential payout: $7.26K
Potential profit: $6.27K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$209.12

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $351.4
Potential payout: $7.1K
Potential profit: $6.75K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$520.98

No position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $3.37K
User PnL: -$1.38K

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $458.57
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$613.1

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $738.04
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $238.04

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.81K
Potential profit: $2.81K
User PnL: -$466

Yes position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $473.71
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $1.84K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$20.09

Yes position

Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $345.23
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $45.24

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$525

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $251.59
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $26.59

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $155.65
Potential payout: $741.17
Potential profit: $585.52
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$272.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $286.07
Potential profit: $286.07
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58K

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56K

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440.15

Yes position

Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.29

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.02

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

No position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.58

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.91

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$33.92

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$395.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Yes 19% 1,021.82 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Yes 16.9% 2,952.16 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 1% 10,000 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 4.9% 329.99 shares
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Yes 63.9% 1,470.58 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 24% 2,083.33 shares
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Yes 34% 1,470.59 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.3% 3,067.48 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.5% 1,363.64 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5% 10,000 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.7% 4,191.62 shares
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

No 42.2% 481.15 shares