Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.03K
- Potential profit
- $5.03K
- User PnL
- -$326.59
Polymarket Trader
polypotato
0x75a5fcfcddae216e9e2ed6e0b705ab4cca03a5bf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $279.95
- Realized PnL
- $12.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.43K
- Potential profit
- $4.43K
- User PnL
- -$1.23K
Yes position
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- User PnL
- -$386.7
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $820.99
- Potential profit
- $820.99
- User PnL
- -$145.07
No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $777.8
- Potential profit
- $777.8
- User PnL
- -$491.78
Up position
XRP Up or Down - July 23, 3PM ET
Ends Jul 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $644.98
- Potential profit
- $644.98
- User PnL
- -$110.97
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $76.32
- Potential payout
- $610.59
- Potential profit
- $534.27
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $19.29
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $66.11
- Potential payout
- $413.17
- Potential profit
- $347.06
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$6.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?
Ends Aug 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $407
- Potential profit
- $407
- User PnL
- -$214.92
Yes position
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$44
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $91.85
- Potential payout
- $157
- Potential profit
- $65.16
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $16.49
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $43.11
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $81.89
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $6.86
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.56
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $122.44
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.8
- Potential profit
- $114.8
- User PnL
- -$13.78
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $39
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Broncos position
Broncos vs. Chiefs
Ends Nov 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Bulls position
Bulls vs. Hawks
Ends Nov 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $960.01
No position
Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $682.62
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $629.43
No position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $610.5
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $534.44
Chiefs position
Broncos vs. Chiefs
Ends Nov 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470
Up position
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 1PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.2
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.93
Jazz position
Jazz vs. Spurs
Ends Nov 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.78
Yes position
Will G2 win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?
Ends Sep 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.3
Bills position
Bills vs. Jets
Ends Oct 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.64
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times November 1-8?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.72
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.73
Yes position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.5
No position
Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.49
Yes position
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.99
No position
Israel military strike against Iran in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 10% 48.98 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 10% 159 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?Yes 2.9% 25.94 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes 48% 157 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes 29% 125 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes 19% 22.42 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 9% 402.61 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes 18% 203.54 shares
- TikTok sale announced in 2025?No 77.8% 777.79 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes 94.2% 1,904.24 shares
- Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes 3% 566.02 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes 73% 203 shares