Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $99.7
- Potential profit
- $97.57
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$3.87
Polymarket Trader
0x75a876D11a0c9E25A80907fada889cfBEF09048D-1772699281078
0x75a876d11a0c9e25a80907fada889cfbef09048d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $65.47
- Realized PnL
- $63.67
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $26.67
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $56.67
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $16.67
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $18.67
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $8.67
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $16.85
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.87
- Potential payout
- $15.87
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $7.87
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETDown 8% 10.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown 8% 10.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown 20% 4.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETDown 4% 21.54 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETDown 10% 8.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETDown 18% 4.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETUp 32% 2.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown 15% 5.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown 23% 11.6 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 49.5% 15.53 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown 19% 9.3 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown 37% 12.29 shares