Polymarket Trader

solong

0x75b63e59930c471e32457cd207a8180e7de9b3d9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.33
Realized PnL: $5.42
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

California redistricting referendum passes?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $2.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Russia x Ukraine buffer zone agreement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Chelsea Clinton announce run for congress by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will USA win Gold in Men's 4x100m Freestyle Relay?

Ends Jul 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 July meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Israel strikes Iran before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Obama divorce in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Fed rate hike in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

US strikes Yemen before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will David Kinne win Survivor 48?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Pope Francis step down before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

TikTok banned in the US in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Canada block Pornhub in the U.S. before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will 10% or more CIA personnel accept buyout offer before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Paraguay win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested by Friday?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?

No 99.9% 341.34 shares
Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?

No 99.8% 345.34 shares
Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?

No 99.9% 345.35 shares
California redistricting referendum passes?

Yes 89% 2.25 shares
More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?

No 89% 2.25 shares
Will Chelsea Clinton announce run for congress by December 31?

No 97.9% 1.02 shares
Russia x Ukraine buffer zone agreement by December 31?

No 94% 1.06 shares
Obama divorce in 2025?

No 96.9% 2.27 shares
Fed rate hike in 2025?

No 96.3% 1.2 shares
Israel strikes Iran before September?

No 74% 1.35 shares
Will Israel or Iran break the ceasefire first?

Israel 63% 3.17 shares
US strikes Yemen before August?

No 94% 2.13 shares