Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $216.1
- Potential profit
- $216.1
- User PnL
- -$8.86
Polymarket Trader
elmrm
0x75bd6805fe6ee7226d38c68c971375a4aa16d0ac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $141.2
- Realized PnL
- $94.15
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $187.5
- Potential profit
- $185.91
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $147.75
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $108.7
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $16.8
- Potential payout
- $105.03
- Potential profit
- $88.22
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $34.92
- Potential payout
- $84.03
- Potential profit
- $49.12
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $24.92
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $81.63
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$3.29
No position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.8%
- Current value
- $14.85
- Potential payout
- $65.13
- Potential profit
- $50.28
- Multiplier
- 4.39x
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $7.94
- Potential payout
- $56.18
- Potential profit
- $48.24
- Multiplier
- 7.07x
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 27.9%
- Current value
- $15.39
- Potential payout
- $55.25
- Potential profit
- $39.86
- Multiplier
- 3.59x
- User PnL
- $5.39
Yes position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.78
- Potential profit
- $48.78
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $45.11
- Potential profit
- $44.19
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$4.08
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.2%
- Current value
- $8.29
- Potential payout
- $41.15
- Potential profit
- $32.86
- Multiplier
- 4.96x
- User PnL
- -$11.71
No position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $16.88
- Potential payout
- $32.46
- Potential profit
- $15.58
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$2.12
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $9.52
- Potential payout
- $28.85
- Potential profit
- $19.33
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $10.13
- Potential payout
- $10.6
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.7
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04
Yes position
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $2.36
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.1% 216.1 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Yes 24.1% 8.3 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 48.6% 41.15 shares
- Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?No 27.5% 62.56 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 49.9% 20.04 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 18.09 shares
- Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?Yes 8.2% 48.78 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82.9% 18.09 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 18.1% 55.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.6% 187.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 2% 150 shares
- Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?No 27% 18.52 shares