No position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $12K
- User PnL
- -$3.79K
Polymarket Trader
25usdc
@25usdc
0x75e765216a57942d738d880ffcda854d9f869080
Verified Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.79K
- Realized PnL
- $72.87K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$803
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.6%
- Current value
- $8.05K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $7.5K
No position
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
Yes position
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $23.86
- Potential payout
- $3.41K
- Potential profit
- $3.38K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$633.19
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $225
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.78K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$285
Yes position
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$105
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $1.78K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $220
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $580
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $440
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $460
No position
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- $126
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $840
No position
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $999.99
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $310
Yes position
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $899.74
- Potential profit
- $899.74
- User PnL
- -$103.94
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $592.51
- Potential payout
- $600.01
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $49.28
Yes position
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $18.01
- Potential payout
- $235.49
- Potential profit
- $217.48
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- -$17.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49K
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1K
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02K
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77K
Yes position
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61K
No position
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.36K
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.19K
No position
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93K
Yes position
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.93K
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87K
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
No position
Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69K
Yes position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
Yes position
North Korea missile launch by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46K
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
No position
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3K
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
Yes position
US strike on Syria by December 31?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 49.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No 38% 272.9 shares
- Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Yes 14% 49.81 shares
- Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?No 80% 3.63 shares
- Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?Yes 11% 25 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 51% 0.11 shares
- Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?Yes 11.5% 973.82 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?No 99.3% 3,999.99 shares
- Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No 58% 1,000 shares
- Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?No 59.3% 466 shares
- Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?No 56% 34.23 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No 50.9% 645.26 shares