No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $123.74
- Potential payout
- $156.63
- Potential profit
- $32.89
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $23.74
Polymarket Trader
rapdebates
0x75fdbb914bedab46b38bb9dcdc6d707be9de693c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $488.17
- Realized PnL
- $38.96
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $84.31
- Potential payout
- $90.31
- Potential profit
- $6.01
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $71.98
- Potential payout
- $84.18
- Potential profit
- $12.21
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $45.8
- Potential payout
- $63.61
- Potential profit
- $17.81
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $59.07
- Potential payout
- $62.41
- Potential profit
- $3.34
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $46.05
- Potential payout
- $50.33
- Potential profit
- $4.28
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.32
- Potential profit
- $43.32
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $34.45
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.4%
- Current value
- $25.31
- Potential payout
- $33.15
- Potential profit
- $7.84
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$4.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $8.36
- Potential profit
- $7.94
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $18.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 73°F or below on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 14?No 94.5% 62.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 14?Yes 16.3% 8.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 13?No 99.2% 61.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 14?No 94.1% 90.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 13?No 99.8% 84.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 14?No 95.8% 34.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?No 90.5% 33.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 13?No 99.4% 64.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 14?No 76% 84.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 13?No 99% 64.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 14?No 93.4% 50.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 14?No 78.6% 63.61 shares