Polymarket Trader

HappyAmateur

0x760e983416303a2bb1c15b0a2c95f4034751fa03

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $740.26
Realized PnL: $60.6
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 40.9%
Current value: $740.11
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 2.45x
User PnL: $505.47

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $793.14
Potential profit: $793.14
User PnL: -$234.33

No position

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $598.5
Potential profit: $598.5
User PnL: -$141.06

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$46.23

Yes position

Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.08
Potential profit: $78.08
User PnL: -$31.23

No position

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.93
Potential profit: $39.93
User PnL: -$28.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.55

Yes position

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.34

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.88

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.33

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.87

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.6

No position

Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.49

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "abortion ban" during her Wisconsin rally?

Ends Sep 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.96

Crawford position

Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel

Ends Apr 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.56

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.16

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "border" 3 or more times during her Wisconsin rally?

Ends Sep 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his Pennsylvania rally?

Ends Sep 23, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump say "border" 25 or more times during his Pennsylvania rally?

Ends Sep 23, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win by 150 or more seats?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.24

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "convicted felon" during her Wisconsin rally?

Ends Sep 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12

No position

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.54

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.72

Yes position

Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25.5

Yes position

Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$26.3

Yes position

Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2.5-2.9 on Sept 27?

Ends Sep 27, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 0–5%?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$65.5

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$381.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 47% 167.15 shares
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

No 40% 130 shares
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 15.3% 140 shares
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 32% 231 shares
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 17% 30 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 7.9% 30 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 15.9% 10 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 15.9% 20 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 15.5% 20 shares
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

No 18% 59.99 shares
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

No 19% 30 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 15.9% 30 shares