No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $80.28
- Potential payout
- $80.48
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $0.6
Polymarket Trader
0x7618...e714
0x7618fcaa5034fe22bee47600e049aab50155e714
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $236.45
- Realized PnL
- $2.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 71.3%
- Current value
- $53.39
- Potential payout
- $74.93
- Potential profit
- $21.54
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$3.13
No position
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $45.13
- Potential payout
- $71.64
- Potential profit
- $26.51
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$2.87
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Olympic Dcheira 0 - 3 OC Safi?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.94
- Potential profit
- $67.94
- User PnL
- -$54.35
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $57.64
- Potential payout
- $65.13
- Potential profit
- $7.49
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 88% 87.01 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 83% 61.75 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 65.13 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 89% 95.29 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 81% 61.75 shares
- Exact Score: Olympic Dcheira 0 - 3 OC Safi?Yes 80% 67.94 shares
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No 67% 71.64 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99% 80.48 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 87% 87.01 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 89% 95.29 shares
- Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes 75.4% 74.93 shares