Yes position
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $521
- Potential profit
- $521
- User PnL
- -$154.6
Polymarket Trader
0xba0c58e82be7d3a6afcdee6394f113ed
0x76191ba996a410fc9adb2f08fb24e44325db6ee7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.22
- Realized PnL
- $468
- Win rate
- 64.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $9.6
- Potential profit
- $6.38
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $1.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.6
Yes position
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.41
Yes position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.03
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.17
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.4
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.74
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.24
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.58
Yes position
Grok 4.20 released by January 9?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.53
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52.74
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$163.4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$533.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 32.7% 1,520 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes 3.3% 606.13 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes 3.4% 393.87 shares
- Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?Yes 3% 2,000 shares
- Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?Yes 2.9% 4,788.74 shares
- Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?Yes 10% 659.38 shares
- Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?Yes 11% 632.71 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 67% 800 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes 17% 55.48 shares
- Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?Yes 9% 900 shares
- Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?Yes 8% 392.09 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes 3.9% 520 shares