Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $41.41
- Potential profit
- $37.48
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$5.59
Polymarket Trader
0x763f...b210
0x763f9fbc90e2270b4a66a7bd4fcebed6f7d4b210
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $133.83
- Realized PnL
- $236.75
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $12.94
- Potential payout
- $15.68
- Potential profit
- $2.74
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $4.94
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $9.26
- Potential payout
- $15.3
- Potential profit
- $6.04
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $5.57
- Potential payout
- $13.1
- Potential profit
- $7.53
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $6.28
- Potential payout
- $13.09
- Potential profit
- $6.81
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.64
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $5.98
- Potential payout
- $11.29
- Potential profit
- $5.31
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $6.47
- Potential payout
- $11.26
- Potential profit
- $4.79
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $4.28
- Potential payout
- $11.25
- Potential profit
- $6.98
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.12
- Potential payout
- $11.13
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $3.53
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $6.27
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $8.15
- Potential payout
- $10.52
- Potential profit
- $2.37
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $10.34
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Current value
- $8.97
- Potential payout
- $10.08
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $9.25
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $6.34
- Potential payout
- $7.53
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $6.26
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
No position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.29
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $6.32
- Potential profit
- $5.91
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $5.43
- Potential payout
- $6.32
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.23
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.99
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89
No position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.88
No position
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
Up position
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.68
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88
Up position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Yes position
Will Madison Air’s market cap be greater than $13.5B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.68
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.64
No position
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $45M and $50M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79
No position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Yes position
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 9?Down 32% 11.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 68.2% 11.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 36% 7.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 29% 7 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 48% 9.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 64.3% 7.88 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 77.4% 10.08 shares
- Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of July 6 2026?No 47% 14 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?Yes 45.6% 9.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes 62% 11.26 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 30% 5.87 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 79% 2.2 shares