Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $550
- User PnL
- -$6.05
Polymarket Trader
Cerfifylover
0x764883928b8a1a01d53052b381689c266f2ee83f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $84.81
- Realized PnL
- $21.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$6.02
No position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.03
- Potential payout
- $12.03
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.15
- Potential payout
- $10.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $7.06
- Potential payout
- $7.16
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.02
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $5.62
- Potential payout
- $5.95
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $5.28
- Potential payout
- $5.49
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $5.2
- Potential payout
- $5.25
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $5.13
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $4.94
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.17
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $4.15
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $4.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $4.04
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $1.9
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 18?
Ends Oct 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
No position
Will Kanye name his token Portnoy?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Dilan Yeşilgöz out as VVD leader before Netherlands election?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Apple acquire Mistral by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Trump x Putin talk by July 31?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Up position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on October 20?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
US strikes Yemen before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Another MrBeast Twitch livestream by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Files proving Epstein or Maxwell were Mossad released before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Biden say "Felon" during farewell address?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Lilmix position
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Pigeons (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group B
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?No 98.3% 1.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 28?No 99.9% 10.02 shares
- Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 96.5% 10.28 shares
- Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.2% 2,794.45 shares
- Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.2% 5,712.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 28?No 99.8% 10.02 shares
- Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 99.6% 1,300 shares
- Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.2% 2,794.45 shares
- Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.2% 5,714.28 shares
- Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.3% 2,094.63 shares
- Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99% 1,930 shares
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.1% 2,900 shares