No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $4.48K
- Potential payout
- $5.18K
- Potential profit
- $699.46
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $354.77
Polymarket Trader
0x764e39dA7a58c84d36A9C196eC19cf7402b2DC41-1776636514780
0x764e39da7a58c84d36a9c196ec19cf7402b2dc41
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.17K
- Realized PnL
- $934.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $554.67
- Potential profit
- $554.67
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $445.59
- Potential payout
- $446.71
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- User PnL
- $21.22
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $206.29
- Potential payout
- $208.69
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $24.29
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.22
- Potential profit
- $122.22
- User PnL
- -$110
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $37.16
- Potential payout
- $89.55
- Potential profit
- $52.39
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$22.84
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.44
- Potential profit
- $52.44
- User PnL
- -$43
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.16
- Potential profit
- $37.16
- User PnL
- -$33
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.6
- Potential profit
- $24.6
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $11.49
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.68
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.65
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.65
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.78
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.13
No position
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.59
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.92
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.45
Yes position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.14
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.27
No position
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.13
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.3
No position
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.77
Yes position
Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.23
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.12
Yes position
Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
Yes position
Will Trump say "China" this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will Trump say "Coal" 5+ times during coal announcement?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will Bernie say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will Bernie say "Healthcare" in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 0.4% 376.89 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 0.4% 1,646.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 439.56 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 82% 52.44 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 29.85 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 243.96 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 63% 3.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 241.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84% 2.38 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84% 654.76 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 76% 5.26 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 81.3% 24.6 shares