Polymarket Trader

FelonMusk

0x765abff2fb7d3118a5b2ca6b492768d2e664efb4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $10.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.94K
Potential profit: $11.94K
User PnL: -$34.45

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 510 and 539 times August 29–September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.44K
Potential profit: $8.44K
User PnL: -$24.78

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 390–404 times August 1–August 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$69.94

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 330–344 times August 1–August 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.66K
Potential profit: $5.66K
User PnL: -$80.13

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 380–394 times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$109.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.11K
Potential profit: $5.11K
User PnL: -$108.13

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01K
Potential profit: $5.01K
User PnL: -$59.75

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01K
Potential profit: $5.01K
User PnL: -$51.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01K
Potential profit: $5.01K
User PnL: -$33.79

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 525–549 times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$185.69

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 550–574 times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$52.5

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 18–25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$64.96

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 405–419 times August 1–August 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$47.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$18.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$7.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$14.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $970

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 18–25?

Ends Apr 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $934.99

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $885.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $795

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $749.28

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 900 and 949 times September 1–30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $726.65

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $541.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $464.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.44

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 14-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.97

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $405.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $403.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.12

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 360–374 times August 1–August 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.16

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.56

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 480 and 509 times August 29–September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $253.62

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.3

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.5

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 320–334 times May 30–June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,053 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,053 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 2.9% 118.71 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 6% 252.92 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,055 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Yes 3.4% 250 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Yes 1% 250 shares