Polymarket Trader

Cdxmoon

0x766692cefa545c436914754d11f00cf2fa8d9863

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $872.9
Realized PnL: $1.61K
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$30

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $2.52K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5.05
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$94.95

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $50.61
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$89.39

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $717.39
Potential profit: $717.39
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.8%
Current value: $440.67
Potential payout: $690.7
Potential profit: $250.03
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$59.33

Yes position

Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $585.63
Potential profit: $585.63
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $498.54
Potential profit: $498.54
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$87

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $389.22
Potential profit: $389.22
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361.57
Potential profit: $361.57
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$40

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $250
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $220

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Over position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.99
Potential profit: $136.99
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$20

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $126.58
Potential payout: $126.58
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.58

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $808.18

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $487.06

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.46

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.95

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.2

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.55

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.78

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.69

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 23% 217.39 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 40% 500 shares
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5

Over 11% 181.82 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 909.09 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes 11% 909.09 shares
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 1% 11.81 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 15?

Up 99.9% 200.59 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 15?

Up 74% 200.59 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Yes 5.6% 909.09 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Yes 5.5% 909.09 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 31?

Down 18% 11.98 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?

Down 28.9% 69.2 shares