No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Polymarket Trader
0x7668eFF5E04678f48C5a2d1F3D77344065B28F01-1772591608851
0x7668eff5e04678f48c5a2d1f3d77344065b28f01
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.21
- Realized PnL
- $3.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $3.21
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.16
- Potential profit
- $3.16
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $2.4
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 91% 2.4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 54% 3.33 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 95% 5.56 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 56% 3.21 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 91% 1.56 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 57% 3.16 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 75% 2.8 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 94% 1.28 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 67% 4.93 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 97.7% 5.22 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 68% 5.15 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 96.9% 1.32 shares