Yes position
Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $57.6
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.95
Polymarket Trader
datasurfer
@IgnatKrukovskiy
0x768a663f18532874ab04b974f75d7570c2424f50
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.37
- Realized PnL
- $720.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Conrad Ukropina win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $44.51
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.03
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$3.67
Yes position
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 58 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during Cabinet meeting?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.02
- Potential profit
- $15.02
- User PnL
- -$6.01
No position
Will Drake have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.78
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Josh Harward win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.92
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Rod Strozier win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.9
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Martín Zubimendi record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Yes position
Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.97
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Casey Hux win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.84
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Gabriel Martinelli have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.84
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Ronn Perez win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.89
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Trump say "Pool" or "Pond" during Cabinet meeting?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Yes position
Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.26
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fauci" during Cabinet meeting?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Yes position
Will Mike Turitto win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.93
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.94
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Matt Carroll win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.93
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.62
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will 1050 to 1099 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.7
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.7
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.36
No position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.9
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.59
Yes position
Will Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.14
Yes position
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.78
No position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Michigan?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.8
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during College Football Roundtable?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Yes 98% 28.57 shares
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Yes 98% 1.02 shares
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5Over 83% 6.02 shares
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Over 53% 1.89 shares
- Will Steve Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?No 94.5% 8.49 shares
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Bret Baier interview?No 63% 15 shares
- Will Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes 50% 15 shares
- Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 56.7% 15 shares
- Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 52% 14.06 shares
- Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?No 45% 61.48 shares
- Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 42.7% 14.99 shares
- Will Starmer say "Appalling" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 76% 4.99 shares