No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- User PnL
- -$36.34
Polymarket Trader
dfupagain
0x768fec713e26800eef968ea838a2e28267b2c7bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.13K
- Realized PnL
- $4.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $114.72
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$522.63
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $114.72
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $522.63
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $822.13
- Potential profit
- $822.13
- User PnL
- -$241.53
No position
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $716.98
- Potential profit
- $716.98
- User PnL
- -$40.82
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $52.5
- Potential payout
- $699.99
- Potential profit
- $647.49
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$39.5
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $128
- Potential payout
- $691.9
- Potential profit
- $563.89
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$319.28
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $552.75
- Potential profit
- $552.75
- User PnL
- -$153.4
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $474.99
- Potential profit
- $474.99
- User PnL
- -$33
No position
Obama arrested before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $403.27
- Potential payout
- $429.24
- Potential profit
- $25.97
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $12.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $387.4
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$33
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$100
N
No position
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $10.4
- Potential payout
- $399.97
- Potential profit
- $389.57
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$81.59
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $184.5
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $115.5
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
N
No position
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $283.35
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $16.65
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $77.35
N
No position
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $197.63
- Potential payout
- $213.65
- Potential profit
- $16.02
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $80.88
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$116
No position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$157.4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10.6
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $179
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $21
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $199.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- User PnL
- $30.1
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $16
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $184
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$81.5
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $191.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $10.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $477.09
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $291
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.29
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $234
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.42
Yes position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.99
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $141.67
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.7
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100.96
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.5
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.28
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.88
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.72
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.14
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $75.2
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.78
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 77.3% 20.42 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?Yes 73% 10 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?Yes 72% 14.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 31% 400 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 44% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 50% 300 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 2.5% 1,055.94 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes 76% 5 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes 75% 34.69 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 89% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 27% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 48% 100 shares